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Thursday, November 5, 2009

Fibonacci ... Pivot Point Trading (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

Beginning with the main Pivot Point that is calculated from the previous day's key price points, the resulting support and resistance are subsequently derived from the following calculations. How is the pivot levels calculated? Beginning with the main Pivot Point that is calculated from the previous day's key price points, the resulting support and resistance are subsequently derived from the following calculations:

Resistance 1 R1 = 2PP- Previous Low. Resistance 2 R2 = PP + (R1-S1). Resistance 2 R3 = Previous High + 2(PP-Previous Low).

PP (Pivot Point) = (Yesterday's Low + Yesterday's High + Yesterday's Close)/3.

Support 3 S3 = Previous Low-2(Previous High -PP). Support 2 S2= PP- (R1-S1). Support 1 S1 = 2PP - Previous High.

The main pivot point is very important. After calculating these pivot points they are plotted on the currency price chart. Trader's can calculate the current day's pivot points using the above formulas based on the previous day's price data.

Many traders are afraid of pivot points. They consider them to be difficult to understand and master. Nothing is far from the truth. Breakouts or bounces may be traded with pivot points. Once these pivot levels are calculated and plotted, they are used in much the same way as Fibonacci Retracement. These pivot points are often also used as profit targets. Pivot points also indicate whether the market sentiment is bullish or bearish. Traders also use pivot points as reference levels to provide information as to whether the current price is relatively low or relatively high within its expected price range for the day.

You can further refine your pivot point levels by using the S1, R1 and other levels. S1, S2 and S3 as well as R1, R2 and R3 are used as references in pivot point trading. For example, traders may look for long trading opportunities with the view that the price will reasonably move towards equilibrium around the main PP level if the price is near the day's S2.

Pivot point trading can be adapted to any time frame. This makes it a highly reliable method of analyzing the market. Many traders use different time frames in their trading decisions. You can also calculate the pivot levels for a week and for a month time frame too. Instead of calculating the pivot points for the current day you can also calculated the above levels for 4 hour charts as well as 8 hour charts.

When calculating the pivot points for the other time frames just replace the day's highs, lows and the closing prices with the appropriate time frame highs, lows and closing prices. Both Fibonacci and Pivot Points are excellent technical tools that often encompass entire trading discipline in themselves.

The main pivot point indicates the mood of the market. Any price level above the main pivot point indicates a bullish sentiment in the market and any price level below the amin pivot point indicates the bearish sentiment in the market. The pivot point can become the target low for the trading session in an extremely bullish market condition. This number represents the true value of a prior session. It is important to understand that especially in strong bull or bear market conditions, it can be used as an actual trading number in determining the high or the low of a given time period.

Pivot point trading has been successfully used by traders in making trading decisions. Traders will step in and buy the pullback until that pivot point is broken by prices trading below that level. A retracement back to the pivot will attract buyers if the market gaps higher above the pivot point in an uptrending market. The opposite is true for the pivot point will act as the target high for the session in an extremely bearish market condition.

What you need to understand is the market psychology at any particular point of time. If you can do that you can become a master trader. Understanding what the herd is doing can help you decide what to do and what not do in your trading. Technically speaking, in a bearish market, the highs should be lower and the lows should be lower than in the preceding time frame. Generally prices come back up to test the pivot point if a news-driven event causes the market to gap lower after traders take time interpreting the information and the news. Sellers will take action and start pressing the market lower again if the market fails to break that level and trade higher. - 23218

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Seasons And Cycles In The Market

By Ahmad Hassam

The first question that comes to your mind is that are these seasonal cycles real in the markets and how you can time your trading with these cycles? The stock market is full of sayings like, Sell in May and go away, as well as the conventional wisdom about the, summer rally, the Santa Claus rally, the dark days of autumn, the presidential cycle, and so on.

Markets are always changing; money keeps on moving in and out of stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities and so on with the stroke of a mouse and speed of electron thousands of times every day. Markets are about big banks, insurance companies, hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, governments, mutual funds and individual investors creating a very diverse and dynamic environment.

Have you heard about Nicolas Darvas a ballroom dancer who in early 1960s made a fortune in around a year and a half with his Darvas System? He had made $2 million in stocks. In todays money that is something like $20 million. He was a legend in his times. In his days, there was no online system. He would contact his broker via telex from far flung parts of the world where he would go for performing. In 1960s when big Wall Street players would go on summer off, volume would dry up and the market tended to have a slight upward bias. Now, with the high speed internet connection and satellites, any money manager can stay in touch with the market on his laptop or mobile phone even on family vacations in a remote island of Pacific! Life has changed. Technology has revolutionized many things in our lives. Still with such fast action, there is some seasonality in the markets that you should know if you are trading these markets.

In the past markets were a whole lot less complicated. Most of the money moved between US and Europe. But with globalization and the ability to communicate in real time, money has started to move in a less predictable fashion. This has altered the trading patterns. What used to work yesterday does not work today.

You shouldnt rely on seasonal analysis as your main method of trading stocks, bonds, currencies or commodities. At the same time, you should be aware that there are times when the markets do tend to follow these seasonal patterns.

September tends to be the toughest month of the year. For the past 50 years, the average return on S...P 500 for the month of September has been around 0.6%. Dow Jones Industrial Average has even preformed worse with return of -1%. Now stock markets have a certain tendency to move in certain directions during certain months of the year. This general seasonal trend is a good one to keep in the background of your mind.

September has been traditionally a bad month and November has been a good month for the bulls. The S...P 500 Index has the general tendency to rise in the month of November. December is another typically strong month. December is the month of holidays and the end of the year. Holidays means investors are in a cheerful and exuberant mood and the money managers want to show a good performance at the end of the month. - 23218

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How To Trade Forex Like A Master

By Scott McDonald

Asking fellow traders how to trade forex or how they do it them self can be a benefit. They can show you a thing or two about trading that you may not have known. When it comes to making profits I had enough of chasing the answers. I soon discovered one method that the big traders use that has led to me dominating forex!

Thinking that I knew how to trade forex after learning this one method, I had to put it to the test. After a few weeks of testing the results were in, and they were truly astonishing. In a matter of two weeks I found my profits doubled! No other method has pushed me this far ever! Using this one method that the guru's try to keep hidden has yielded the highest profits yet!

After learning how to trade forex with this one new method, it will soon be discovered that you are much further ahead of any other trader around. In the time I have been trading I have never seen a method that was as repeatable and turned so much profit. It surely is the best method yet. Using the other methods to make money was regular, but once this method came along, they were blown away. Find out what the guru's have been hiding from the general public for years!

Still wondering how to trade forex for massive profits like the big guys? Learn the method I trust, take your trades far beyond what the average trader is capable of. In order to create your success, you need to take action. One of the most important things in forex is making a decision and action on it! Any trader can benefit from this one method and see their profits take off!

Finally find out how to trade forex like the masters do it. Don't wonder any longer how they make these insane profits, do it for your self. Not only has this method helped my forex trading skills, it has also made trades more predictable and easy to see. Don't be left in the dust with the other average traders to never succeed. Discover the truth behind forex and how you can make money like its nothing. Adding this one method to my trading has made my profits soar sky high. - 23218

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The Basics Of Evicting Obstreperous Tenants

By Layla Vanderbilt

Every landlord has found themselves at one point or another dealing with a bad tenant. There could be many reasons why this tenant is bad. Some of these reasons are; doesn't pay rent, makes life hard for other tenants, and causes damages to the property. All these things make it hard for the landlord to keep the relationship going. Even though all states have different eviction laws, here are some tips that you will be able to use if you find yourself in that situation. It would be smart to get a hold of a lawyer in order to handle your legal issues and give you advice on your pending eviction. Since its more expensive to hire a lawyer on a case by case basis, you should build a working relationship with one so that you avoid the higher legal fees.

First, you can evict a tenant for non-payment of rent. To do this, you have to go through a process. Start with serving the tenant with a formal notice that the rent is overdue, and that he faces the possibility of eviction if payment is not forthcoming. If you don?t know how to create such a formal notice, there are preprinted forms that comply with all the legal niceties. IF you don?t receive payment within the legally prescribed period, such as within a week, you can begin eviction proceedings based on non-payment of rent. Be forewarned, however, that if you accept even a partial payment of the overdue rent during the eviction process, most jurisdictions will dismiss the action if payment of any amount, even a very small one, is accepted.

If the tenant does not comply with the terms of a signed lease agreement, the landlord must supply a warning to the tenant stating the basis for such a claim ? i.e., the lease provision that has been violated ? and allow him to remedy the violation. That way, the tenant cannot later claim ignorance of the violation, or that he received no notice of the violation. Usually the courts will be favorably disposed toward a landlord who can show that the tenant ignored a prior notice and deadline.

Health And safety Issues There are times when tenants may be a health risk to other tenants and even the property. In most cases, a landlord has the right to evict someone who causes health risks to other tenants and the property itself. You will need to provide them with a notice stating the violation and the time they have to correct it, or move out. If they fail to take action, you can start eviction processes. You can even start the process if the tenant corrects their problems, on the basis of health and safety concerns.

IF a tenant files for bankruptcy, such an action stays any eviction proceeding commenced by a landlord until the bankruptcy issue is resolved, or the bankruptcy court lifts the stay and allows the eviction proceeding to go forth. IN said case, the landlord is usually required to move before the court asking that the stay be lifted.

Sometimes when a landlord commences an eviction action, the tenant may have counterclaims. For instance, the tenant may claim inadequate maintenance of the leasehold or some other violation of the lease agreement. IN said case, the tenant might ask the court to halt the eviction proceedings, or for a substantial decrease in the monthly rent. That?s why it?s always a good idea to keep any records of tenants? complaints, and of steps taken by the landlord to remedy them. Take note that if the landlord has in fact kept such records including those of actions taken to remedy the tenant?s complaints, he can thus negate a tenant?s claim that despite repeated attempts to complain about the problem, the landlord took no action.

Trials you must make sure you have all your paperwork together before you go to court. You don't want to find out that there is something missing, when its too late. Unless you are very familiar with all the rules and regulation of your states rental laws, hiring a lawyer who is up to date on this, will be a plus. This article should give you a good grasp on what exactly it is that you need to do in order to begin the eviction process on one of your tenants. - 23218

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Get Rich Through Property Investments

By Layla Vanderbilt

The concept of investing in residential property can be intimidating to new investors, but for those willing to work at it; developing a profitable portfolio of residential property is not very hard to do. The key to making money to is to keep everything simple. Here?s some information to help you get started.

While it is good to have luck on your side, you need more than luck to make this work. The more information you have when making an investment, they better off you will be. You must research the residential property investment that you are considering. Your money is valuable and you will want to protect yours with a well-thought out strategy.

After you?ve completed your homework you are ready to take the next step. This means you?ll be checking out lots of different residential investment properties. The prime mistake most first-time investors make is listening to the hard sell pitches for so-called ?hot properties.? Currently overseas real estate is all the hype right. That?s great if you?re planning on living oversea, but it?s not a good investment for your real estate portfolio. Leave if for tourists!

Anxiety, fear and a feeling of being overwhelmed is common to first time property investors. While these feelings are normal, you need to be aware of the pitfalls they can lead you into. Sometimes excitement can get in the way of common sense and may keep you from making the best deal. Fear can stop you from doing the right thing.

A property that you buy with the purpose of generating financial returns is called an investment property. This property could be land, a single apartment or house, a block of flats, a commercial or industrial building. Investment properties generate profits through rental income, capital growth or both. Investment properties are generally not used for residential purposes.

What is more important in you circumstances: Capital growth or income? Are you hoping to achieve both? When you are purchasing or marketing properties, you will have your own goals and methods. However, some investors do fall for the hype presented by real estate agents and buy into what seems like a good deal. The best thing a new investor can do is figure out their goals and focus on a strategy to obtain them. Here are the four basic options for property investors:

Benefits of Buying Investment Properties are Investment in property is usually prone to less volatility than shares. The investment in this sector is relatively a safe form of investment, the value of our property rises in the long term; we become eligible to receive tax deductions. We can include depreciation in the value of the investment property due to wear, tear and obsolescence as deductions in our tax returns, we can obtain tax variations and enhance our cash flows, we can earn from the rental income, we can earn from the rental income.

By seeking proper advice from qualified experts such as accountants, financiers and quantity surveyors, it is possible to maximize the benefits you receive from your investment property. - 23218

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