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Monday, April 20, 2009

Forex Robot Trades With Money Management Program

By Richard U. Olson

A money management program for investors is a system that they use to tell them when to buy or sell and what amounts of money to risk at a given time. For those involved in the Forex markets, an automated Forex trading system - an electronic system - can be an ideal money management program.

An automated Forex trading system has its own set of skeptics who consider such systems try to time the market which is a big no-no for investors. However, knowledgeable Forex traders understand that good automated software set to their chosen parameters is not involved with market timing. Rather, the system applies the retracement, stop-loss and other real time parameters and then combines with mathematical algorithms such as the widely used Fibonacci formula in with those provisions in sequence to automatically place buy or sell orders on behalf of the Forex trader or investor.

The Forex market is a global market which is open nearly 24/7 since at almost any time there is a currency market doing business somewhere on the planet. An automated Forex trading system is therefore ideal for use as an investor's money management program, since the software can stay up and running whenever there is trading to be done.

Some people who aren't all that savvy about investing may wonder why anyone would need any kind of money management program, though. Many of these people have heard that investing is all a gamble, little better than just going to the casino; so, they reason, why would anyone put a program in place when it's not going to make any difference?

Of course, the answer is they're wrong - if you know how to manage your money and your Forex activity. While there is definitely a large amount of uncertainty in the marketplace on a short term, hour by hour and day by day basis, if you pull back a little and look from a more distant, all-encompassing perspective that takes in a longer timeline, you begin to see patterns. Forex automated trading systems take these patterns into consideration and use them to analyze asset trading charts. Using historical perspectives and tried and true mathematical algorithms, it's possible to do far more than just gamble in the Forex or any other investment market.

Speaking of gambling, there are various professional gamblers who are multimillionaires. No one can be that lucky, although ambiguity and luck do have their own roles, however these professionals do know how to see the hidden patterns and then take their calculated risks with informed anticipations. Their essential long-term gains absorb their short term losses.

Forex trading should also be approached in a systematic manner; this is the way to make a success of your trades. Just ask those who have been successful in the Forex market; they didn't guess their way to wealth, they used a system.

And turning both good and bad luck to your long term advantage and profit is entirely possible with a sound money management program - and that, once again, can be enhanced by an automated Forex trading system. - 23218

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The Essentials of Technical Analysis: Part I

By Jack Haddad

Technical analysis has been around for as long as there has been organized markets in the form of exchanges. But, it was not long ago (late 70s to early 80s) when Wall Street, major funds, and financial institutions accepted technical analysis as a viable tool for making money. Before then, technical analysis was regarded as a form of mystical hocus-pocus. Now, however, with the scandalous rise of corporate dishonesty, shenanigan business practices, the purely fundamental analyst is virtually extinct.

Technical analysis of observable and quantifiable trading patterns can be used to develop investment strategy. Why the change? What cause this dramatic shift (fundamental to technical) in perspective? According to the Market Technicians Associations (MTA), more than 30 US colleges and universities are currently offering accredited courses in technical analysis (see appendix A). The MTA, an organization founded in 1993, defines our professional code of ethics and promotes the development of technical analysis. Through the effort of the MTA, a third program has emerged that leads to chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a diploma in technical analysis (DITA). If you have an interest in earning a CMT or DITA, the best place to start is by contacting the MTA.

Technical versus fundamental analysis:

To aid in the comprehension of how technical analysis works, one needs to know that a finite number of traders participate in the markets on any given day. These individuals interact with each other on the trading floor and form collective behavior patterns. These patterns are not only observable and quantifiable, but also repeat themselves with statistical reliability; that said, technical analysis is a method that organizes these collective behavior patterns that give clear indications of when there is a greater probability of one thing occurring over another. Fundamental analysis attempts to take into consideration mathematical models that weigh the significance of a variety of variables (corporate earnings and revenues, price-to earnings ratio, gross margins, valuations, etc..) that could effect the relative balance or imbalance between the supply and demand of a particular stock, commodity, or financial instrument. The trouble is that this economic equation that defines the laws of supply and demand does not have an exponential variable to quantify fear or greed.

Fear or greed is an element of human nature which is called market sentiment or behavioral analysis, and fundamental analysis gives it no consideration. It's people who express their beliefs and expectations about the future that make prices move and not fundamental models. The fact that a fundamental model makes a logical and reasonable projection is not much value if traders who are responsible for most of the trading volume are not aware of the model or simply don't believe in it. Bob Prechter, a famous practitioner of technical analysis once commented that, "... the main problem with fundamental analysis is that its indicators are removed from the market itself. The analyst assumes causality between external events and market movements, a concept which is almost certainly false. But, just as important, and less recognized, is that fundamental analysis almost always requires a forecast of the fundamental data itself before conclusions about the market are drawn. The analyst is then forced to take a second step in coming to a conclusion about how those forecasted events will affect the markets! Technicians only have one step to take, which gives them an edge right off the bat. Their main advantage is that they don't have to forecast their indicators."

Main difference between the two types of analysis:

Fundamental analysis - Focuses on what ought to happen in a market Technical analysis - Focuses on what actually happens in a market

Factors involved in price analysis:

1. Supply and demand 2. Seasonal cycles 3. Weather 4. Government policy 5. Is a medley of Science & art. No algebraic / empiricalformulae. 6. Involves study of price charts and oscillators derived thereon. 7. Study regards price as the ultimate factor, which factors in fundamental factors as well. Does not subscribe to the random walk theory. 8. Signals generated by market action on prices. 9. Chances of multiple interpretations are higher. 10. Will generate more signals, works for catching MOST price movements. 11. Will generally generate signals in advance. 12. Involves built-in capital / risk management techniques.

Charts are based on market action involving:

1. Price 2. Volume 3. Open interest (futures only) 4. Is a pure science form, involves pre-set parameters for investment decision support systems. 5. Involves study of Balance Sheets, P & L accounts. 6.Study regards price moves as a random phenomena, caused by market forces. 7. Signals generated by corporate actions. 8. Chances of multiple interpretations are lower. 9. Will generate fewer signals, works better for catching major moves. 10. Will generally generate delayed signals. 11. Involves NO risk / capital management techniques. - 23218

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Global Macro Traders and Diversification

By Michael Howard

Most long time investors have heard that diversification is the only free lunch on Wall Street. If you have used a financial advisor to pick your investments for you, you may have been told you were diversified but the way it usually works out your diversification is weak at best and in some cases is almost non existent. Obviously you just need to learn the proper way to diversify.

Usually a financial planner will invest your money in a mix of stock and bonds. Yes, this is better then only being invested in one of the two asset classes but it is still not really diversified as there are several other asset classes with different economic drivers.

Proper diversification will invest your money in several different asset classes as well as diversify in different trading strategies. Global macro traders have known this for years and consequently as a group have had positive returns over the last ten years.

Global macro traders diversify into asset classes such as domestic stocks, foreign stocks, Treasury bonds, investment grade corporate bonds, junk bonds, foreign government bonds, foreign corporate bonds, commodities, real estate, and currencies. Some traders even trade in collectibles like art. Why do they cast their investment net so wide? For the simple reason that one asset class may be in or out of favor at any given time.

One of the best known although regularly ignored tenets of successful investing is to look for the best risk to reward situations. If you dont focus on risk then it will come back to haunt you and cause you to lose lots of money. By looking across multiple asset classes you will be better able to find great risk to reward scenarios as not every asset class is always in a good position to make you money.

Luckily we can diversify not only across asset classes but also across different strategies in each one. For instance if you could allocate some money to a long term value investing strategy that looks at three to five years out investing in stocks and then also invest in a good short term trading fund. By doing this you can capture slightly different types of alpha or excess return. If you build a portfolio this way you will become extremely diversified and uncorrelated to regular investments.

By diversifying both wide and deep you will be able to capture alpha or returns in a more consistent manner. Will you make money every day, week, month, or even year? There are no guarantees but properly diversified you will almost always outperform stock market indexes, especially on a risk adjusted basis.

If you prefer to do all of this on your own then you will be well served to learn how to build or just buy several good models so that you can more easily track several asset classes. For instance you will want a few models for the stock market, a few for commodities, etc. The more efficient you set up the process the better your returns will be as you will miss less great risk to reward opportunities. - 23218

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Stock Market Falls- Stop The Loss

By forexStop

When it comes to trading one of the crucial areas that you must learn, and is pivotal in helping to protect your capital and to make you a successful trader is Stop Losses. A stop loss is an order to buy (or sell) a security/contract if the price of the security is to go above (or dropped below) a specific set price or stop price. If this specific stop price is achieved, the stop order is then activated as a market order (no limit) or a limit order (fixed or pre-determined price).

A very important key point to using a stop order is that you don't have to actively monitor how a stock is performing. This can allow you to do other things instead of being forced to monitor the trade. However because the order is triggered automatically when the stop price is reached, the stop price could be activated by a short-term fluctuation in a security's price, caused through lack of liquidity or other. Once the stop price is reached, the stop order becomes a market order or a limit order and you will be exited from this trade.

Especially when trading in a fast-moving volatile market, the price at which the trade is executed may be significantly different from the stop price in the case of a market order. Alternatively in the case of a limit order the trade may or may not get executed at all. This happens when there are no buyers or sellers available at the limit price.

TYPES OF STOP ORDERS:

Stop Loss Limit Order

The stop loss limit order is an order to buy a security at at no more or less than you set the specific prize at. This allows you the trader some control over the price at which the trade is going to be executed at, but this may prevent the order from being executed at. A stop loss limit order can only be executed by the exchange at the limit price or lower than you have set it at.

Meaning that if the stock was to open up in the morning and 'gap down' below the prize that you set the Stop Loss Limit Order would be triggered and then enter or exit you from that particular trade that you set the price on.

What are the key advantages and disadvantages of the stop loss limit order?

ADVANTAGES of a stop loss limit order is that the trader has full control over the price at which the order is executed at, as you set the order.

DISADVANTAGES of using the stop loss limit order is that in a fast moving volatile market your stop loss order may not get executed if there are no buyers/sellers at the limit price due to rare circumstances or when a stock or trade can be illiquid.

Stop Loss Market Order

The stop loss market order is when you place an order to buy (or sell) a security or contract once the price of the security climbed above (or dropped below) a specified stop price. When the set stop price is reached, the stop order is entered as a market order (no limit). In simple terms when a stop loss market order is a order to buy or sell a security at the current market price prevailing at the time the stop order is going to trigger the order. This particular type of stop loss order gives the trader no control over the price at which the trade will be executed.

This is an order to sell at the best available price after the price goes below the stop price. A sell stop price is always below the current market price. If for example you buy a stock at $1 and the set the stop at $0.90 and the price was to trade next at $0.88 then you be exited from this trade at the $0.88 A major advantage of this is that you can limit the particular loss of the trade. The main disadvantage of the stop loss market is that the trader has no control over the price at which the transaction is executed at if it is below the set price they put.

The use of stop loss orders is a great insurance policy that cost you nothing and can save you a fortune. Unless you plan to hold a stock forever, you should always use stop losses.

For more education lessons please feel free to visit the CFD FX REPORTthey specialize in helping to educate traders, they can also assist you in finding the best online broker.

Happy Trading - 23218

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Auto Forex Trading " What On Earth Actually Is It?

By Mike Chartman

First things first lets start by defining the term foreign exhcnage trading so you can have a clear view on what we will be talking about later. The forex market is whereby money trading takes place. It is where banks and other financial places allow switching of foreign currency

How is forex trading done? Here one party purchases a certain amount of currency in exchange of another quantity. Exchange of currencies has been taking place since the 1960s. Each country or banking institution offers its own rates on trading forex. Forex is a liquid market and therefore it changes in value and quantity. Different countries trade with each other through governments, banks and other financial institutions.

Turnovers recorded are gradually growing. Making use of auto forex is one of the largest, contributors to the economic growth and development. The values of auto forex are in that the forex market allows room for trade and investments. US Dollar, Sterling Pound, Deutschmark, Euro and Yen are some of the international currencies used for trade.

Auto forex trading is also known as auto execution. One can make the best profits out of selling currency. Customers have been offered auto forex trading automatically so that they can. To trade with the auto forex an individual has to first identify with the forex brokers and know which ones offer the service automatically

API is a techno-speak acronym used to allow users control their transactions and processes while trading. Auto trading is done online and works with only with software that has a forex specification. There are different types of software that can be used in forex trading. Examples of these software are Fabre Factor which a bit on the expensive side, or the Trade Bullet, which is a bit cheaper compared to the former. - 23218

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