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Friday, July 24, 2009

Lotto, Is This The Best CFD Trading Strategy

By Jeff Cartridge

Understanding the relationship between two important ratios is the key to building a winning CFD trading strategy. The two key ratios are the risk reward ratio and the hit rate.

The risk reward can be calculated by averaging all the wins and dividing by an average of all the losses. The risk reward clearly displays how large your profits are when compared to your losses. The hit rate is simply how often you win and is a count of the winning trades divided by a count of all the trades.

Is Trading CFDs Like Winning Lotto?

Most people have bought lotto tickets at some point in their life, however is lotto the way to riches?

The attraction of lotto is the low outlay or risk. If you lose it only costs you $10 and if you win the returns are potentially enormous, maybe $10 million. The risk reward of Lotto is 1 million:1. This is an excellent risk reward ratio and one you are very unlikely to find anywhere else.

But there is a problem with buying Lotto tickets as an investment strategy. It is not the risk reward, but the hit rate. If a winning Lotto ticket requires 6 correct balls out of 40 possibilities, then the odds of winning are 3,838,380 to 1.

What this means from 3,838,380 games of lotto you could be expected to win $10 million only once and lose the remaining 3,838,379 times. The cost of winning $10 million would be $38,383,790, so your net result is a loss of $28,383,790.

Winning Lotto is more about luck than probability as you may win before you buy you 3,838,380 ticket. But when it comes to building a profitable trading strategy it is not about luck it is about taking advantage of an opportunity that has a profitable edge.

Can Betting On Rugby Improve Your Trading?

In the Super 14 rugby series in New Zealand the Crusaders has been a dominant team over the last ten years winning 7 of the 10 series.

A large bet of $100,000 was made that the Crusaders would win a particular game. The payoff if the Crusaders won was $108,000 so the gambler would receive a profit of just $8,000. With a downside of $100,000 the risk reward is very poor at 8:100 or 0.08.

Despite the lousy risk reward the probability of success is very high. If the probability was greater than 90% that the Crusaders would win then this could be the basis of a profitable strategy.

The odds are unknown, but assuming they were 95% then the gambler would win 19 out of 20 times. This means he would win $8,000 x 19 - $100,000 x 1. Overall he expects to win $52,000 from this strategy. So despite the risk reward being very poor it is possible that this is a winning strategy.

A successful CFD trader will find a CFD trading strategy that skews the odds in their favour and then implement that strategy to generate profits. - 23218

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Know Major Stock Indexes (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

There are 100s of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and HOLDRS covering key industry benchmarks such as the various Standard & Poor (S&P) Indexes, Russell Indexes or the Dow Jones Products. There are other ETFs that cover the other less well known narrow based sectors.

You should know the major indexes that are either key benchmarks or have ETFs tied to them. For example SPY tracks the Standard & Poors 500 Composite Index and is the largest of the ETFs.

Standard & Poor: Standard & Poor (S&P) has been providing independent and objective financial information, analysis and research for nearly 140 years. It is the financial services segment of the McGraw Hill companies.

It is also the provider of equity indexes. These indexes are also used as the basis for wide variety of financial instruments such as Index Funds, Futures, Options and ETFs. Investors around the globe use S&P Indexes for investment performance measurement.

S&P 500 Composite is one of the most popular indexes in the global financial markets. Hundreds of companies around the world have licenses with the Standards & Poors for their index products. The influence and name recognition of S&P 500 is unparalleled. It is also used as a key benchmark for money manager performance.

The S&P 500 is a capitalization weighted index that tracks the performance of 500 large capitalization issues and each year thousands of money managers have the single minded goal of outperforming the S&P 500. S&P 500 represents more than 75% of the capitalization of the entire US Stock Market.

Over the years, the complexion of S&P 500 has changed. 30 years back most of the stocks were from the Industrial Sector. By 1970s, six of the top companies were from the Oil Sector. In 2000s, technology composed about one third of the capitalization of the index. The stocks in the S&P 500 are determined by a nine member committee in accordance with the general guidelines.

The other Standard & Poors indexes are the S&P Midcap 400 Index. It is based on 400 chosen domestic stocks and is also capitalization based. It measures the performance of the midsize companies of the US economy.

The S&P SmallCap 600 Index consists of 600 domestic stocks. These stocks are chosen for market size and liquidity. S&P SmallCap 600 is also capitalization weighted index and is of interest to institutional and retail investors. There are also sub-indexes based on these S&P Indexes.

NASDAQ: You will often hear the Nasdaq market being up or down on a given day in the media. NASDAQ Composite Index contains more than 4500+ companies representing a market capitalization of trillions of dollars.

There is another Nasdaq Index called the Nasdaq-100 and it is composed of the top 100 nonfinancial companies in the Nasdaq Stock Market. NASDAQ-100 is a modified capitalization weighted index. The QQQ is based on the Nasdaq-100 Index. - 23218

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Forex Phantom Automated Software Review

By Will Jones

The popularity of Forex trading systems have been increasing for the past several years with an increase in the amount of people beginning to trade in the foreign exchange market.

In the last few years is the great interest in currency trading has led to an increase in the amount of people to trade in the currency market, this means more tutorials and strategies have been written and appear to have been trading.

What is a Forex Trading System?

A Forex software system otherwise known as a system of exchange of currency is a software tool used by more than 90% of all Forex traders around the world. They are among the most popular software tools used in the financial sector today and become one of the most advanced software in the financial sector.

Since the arrival of these Forex systems have advanced ten times, where are they now use complex algorithms which are able to adapt to several, if not all market conditions.

These software tools are able to predict certain Forex market conditions for the traders and by doing this they are able to predict which trades will be the most profitable and which trades will be the most risk free. This guarantees winning trades for the Forex traders and makes their jobs much easier.

May you be well, I have no money to buy one of these systems, well think again, they are usually sold at a price and that I speak of the following is an example of that. Forex trading should not be your job, if it is a hobby or a career using one of the currencies of these systems will improve your chances of winning ten times.

Why do Traders use Forex Systems?

Many traders have chosen to use a system while Forex trading on the foreign exchange market. The reasons are obvious once you start using these systems. The benefits these systems bring astronomical are minimal such as commercial risks and the ability to investigate the profitability of operations simply by analyzing the currency market.

Forex traders have now become dependent on these systems to enable them to quickly and efficiently analyse the market and target specific trades to invest in to. One of the best points with these systems is that some of them can be left on auto pilot so that you don't even have to be working or at your computer whilst the system analyses the market data and trades in and out of the foreign exchange market.

What to look out for?

With the increase in popularity of these Forex systems like with anything else comes the various systems which lack the quality and precision that some of these systems have. These systems are generally released with out sufficient testing within different market conditions and therefore are not reliable and cannot guarantee profit.

In the past these software systems have been released with lazy development in mind, they have only developed single algorithms which means that the software only adapts to one certain market condition, after this market condition passes they become useless until the same condition appears again.

The systems are also available for complex interfaces, which in some cases confusing for Forex traders, this means that people are not able to take full advantage of the range of functions, sometimes on the forex systems and rather unused.

Choosing a Forex robot?

Many people in the past have purchased the wrong Forex systems, when these systems first arrived there were several developments which were made purely to make money off people with out providing any real benefits to the Forex traders. Now, although things have changed now we are still seeing several Forex systems which limit the amount of which they can benefit their users, the key is to figure out which Forex system makes honest claims.

If you are looking for a forex system, you need to ensure the sale page does not make unrealistic demands that are inaccessible, even the most experienced Forex trader.

Forex Phantom passes this test with its own characteristics and simplistic yet professional, he became this year's most anticipated trading system owned by all, which are traded on the market.

This system has a newly advanced real life algorithm which allows it to adapt with any forex market conditions. This is the first currency trading system to have these enhanced features and whilst it may sound complex the system has a simple to use interface which even the least tech savvy person can control and make money from.

Forex Phantom became the fastest selling foreign currency in the global trading system and in a few weeks. This system is designed to be beneficial and profitable to the user, designed by experts in financial markets and developed by software developers, it has exceeded its own expectations. - 23218

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How Can Forex Software Reviews Help You Choose The Software You Need For Trading?

By Ryse Edwards

Trading on Forex isn't exactly the same as a standard stock market. This may be good or bad, and the exact outcome of trading in this manner will depend on upon your level of preparation. If you are smart then you will look into software to help you with your trading, but you need to know which ones are best. For this it would help to look into the Forex trading reviews.

Are you having some trouble figuring out which Forex software to purchase? It is definitely going to be a pain considering how many different ones are out there to buy.

The best way to find the software for you is to do your research. Start with forex software reviews.

If you do your research and read a lot of different Forex software reviews, then there is no doubt that you will learn many different things regarding those software packages. You shouldn't rely on them however, always make sure that you do your own research. By learning everything that you possibly can, your decision will be rather simple.

These reviews will provide you quite a bit of information and in most cases they are written by someone who has some experience with the software package that your are considering. There may be some cases where the person who wrote it doesn't have the necessary experience, but that's why we have what's know as independent research.

This will help you get a clear picture of that type of software. You want to remember that it will take time to research and find the best forex software. So, use the forex software reviews to help you become more informed.

Just don't rely only on the forex trading software reviews. Research thoroughly and before you know it, you will have the software that you need to help you start forex trading. - 23218

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Four Basic Tips In Getting Your Own Valuable Penny Stock Pick

By Malcolm Torren

Balancing high expectations with the actual stocks being in trade can be quite a challenge for the new penny stock investor. It is no joke to be investing in penny stocks. But if you have the stamina to overcome your first quarter hurdle, you should be good for the next challenge.

This business runs on factual data or information coupled with rational conclusions. Even with the best penny stock pick can't compete with your decision.

When you get the feel of things, however, penny stock trading can be worth your investment. That is no myth and there are people who can tell you that it's even fun. So where do you start? Know the basics first. Here are five tips that are most important to get your excited.

- Be cautious about buying shares from vague claims. Of course you wouldn't buy a product in a grocery store if the label doesn't say much about its content, would you? There may be phone calls and emails you'll be getting saying stuff about penny shares that are up for grabs. Verify this claim first. Verify the source of the information too. It is important in your penny stock pick to have track records and an accurate stock price before you buy a penny share. The point is, don't buy if the information you need is not given completely.

- Look into the PE ratio principle. This is a bit technical for you if you are just a beginner. PE stands for price to earnings ratio. The basic definition is that it's the value being set by the stock market per dollar per share of a company's annual earnings. Conduct a thorough research on this to get a better understanding of how it can be applied to your decision making.

- Do not trust hyped penny shares. Although it is true that press releases can pump up the value of a penny stock. But there are scams involved in this part of the trade and hype is often the favorite game. You should be confident enough of your penny stock pick to not get influenced by other stock broker's opinion. Sure you'll need these brokerage firms but your analysis is what matters most.

- Seek advice from credible sources. You decided to throw in your investments in your penny stock pick because it is your personal decision to. That means whatever risk you have, loss or gain is all yours for the taking. If someone else gives you an advice, make sure that they have traded their own money and have a good track record of successful transactions.

Always make your own well-informed decisions. Nobody in the trading business can teach you penny stock wisdom. Nobody and that is a fact. Penny stock brokerage firms can give you advice and present you the hottest penny stock pick there is. Yes, that can be very helpful. But it's your money out there. Even the stock market doesn't own it. - 23218

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