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Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market

By Damian Papworth

The foreign exchange market is mystifying to many people. There is good reason for this, since these financial markets are among the riskiest in which to trade. This article will explore the topic of the foreign exchange market, what makes it so risky and how to understand it a little better.

What exactly does foreign exchange mean? What are the nuts and bolts of this market? Quite simply, it's the money used in different countries around the world. An investor buys money (known as currency) from one country with the sale of money from another. Without this transaction process, the global economy would stop. Whether you know it or not, you have probably engaged in the foreign exchange market already. In fact, it may be an everyday occurrence for you.

If you have ever gone overseas on a holiday or for business, you would have needed to obtain currency in the country you visited. It doesn't matter if you used travellers cheques, credit card or cash, by functioning as a consumer overseas you would have needed to buy some local currency with the money you earned at home. It is this transaction that had you participating directly in the FX Market as a consumer.

Often, we are involved in the exchange market indirectly, as consumers who purchase goods from another country. Anything imported was either bought or sold with an exchange in currency. Next, a calculation by the importer will set the price for the foreign goods in the country where it will be sold, taking the entire scale of exchange into account. While you might have forgotten that it took this sort of arrangement for foreign goods to make their way to local stores, it happens every day of the year. The FX market has everyone involved, from tourists to exporters, from consumers to importers. The exchange of currencies makes it happen.

Part of the confusion surrounding the FX market is the fluctuation of currency. As with the price of most items on indices, supply versus demand factors heavily in the equation. As a certain currency is wanted and demanded on the market, the price will rise, as sellers realize they have something with which to bargain. Buyers are willing to pay more, supporting the whole transaction. On the other hand, as a currency ends up heavy on the supply end, anyone wishing to dump it will have to accept a lower price. This part of currency exchange makes sense when you stop to consider it.

The hard part is determining the root of supply and demand fluctuations. Therein lies the complex part of foreign currency exchange. Not even economists can pinpoint exactly the cause of demand and supply changing like the tides. Being a good trader is having a grasp on the big factors and investing accordingly, but there is definitely no simple answer and thus the market of currency exchange is not a simple game to play. There are no formulas.

To figure out the value of a particular currency, one has to find the economic value of the country, comparing it against the stability and economic foundation of another. There are a staggering amount of factors that could affect the economy of any country, so bear that in mind. Sometimes, all logic seems to have been thrown out the window, while a mood or feeling of a people or investor group is overwhelming the trade. From a simple glance, one can see the difficulty of depending on this business to deliver clear results.

Remember that the economy of a country only makes up half of the total equation. It must be weighed against the economy of another country to decide its value in the world at large. Having a great understanding of one economy only works when you have an equal understanding of the second country's economy.

Further, your currency trades against all the currencies in the world. So you need to know exactly how each individual economy is going, to compare it against your economy before making a judgement call about whether you think the exchange rate will go up or down.

Once you've completed your research and are ready to make some exchanges, you're also subject to the whims of the world itself. With a consumer crisis or confidence slipping due to the bad performance of central banks, you may see a currency shift you never expected. Fundamental traders who are weighing all the factors mix with the traders called technical traders, who mainly crunch numbers.

There are even people who buy currencies months and years in advance to lock in a price, to help support business activities unrelated to FX trading. This also impacts price. So you can start to see what a complex equation this can become.

There are also Foreign Exchange Trading strategies and these don't necessarily depend on rising or falling prices. No matter how the currencies are moving, the investor will make a small profit, as the currency inches in either direction.

I hope this helps take some of the mystery out of the FOREX market. - 23218

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