Global Macro and Commodity Trading
While most people think of commodity traders as just a bunch of guys in Chicago the truth is that many different types of investors participate in the commodity markets. Obviously we have floor traders but we also have several types of upstairs traders.
One of the main types of upstairs traders in the commodity markets are the CTA or commodity trading advisors. They typically do a lot of long term trend following. The second major commodity trader is the global macro trader.
Global macro traders are the next major group of players in the commodity markets. Some are heavily involved and some barely trade them but all macro traders track the commodity markets to give them a better look into the worlds macro economic situation.
For instance if oil is rising like we saw in 2008 then you have to look to see what businesses are going to get hurt and what will benefit from higher oil prices. Obviously oil companies will make more money but what about shorting airlines? Or maybe even going long railroad companies. As you can tell there are endless ideas of who is affected and who is not.
Another heavily monitored sector is that of precious metals. Gold and silver are great historic gauges of inflation and these days also act as alternative currencies since the Fiat currencies are all in shambles. If you aren't following gold then good luck trading bonds and the US Dollar. Yes, this stuff is that important.
Industrial metals are also a big deal as almost everything you buy or use has some type of metal in it. Copper for electrical wires, lead for batteries, aluminum for cans, etc. The list is virtually endless and between the MERC, the NYMEX, and the LME you can trade basically all of it. If you aren't tracking industrial metals then you are not pricing out the number one cost for most manufacturing and industrial companies.
Next up are the agricultural commodities. While some gloss over this section they are actually a huge part of the economy. Do you eat food? Do you drink water? If you answer was yes to either of these questions then you need to pay attention to the ags. If you answered no then call the hospital please. Anyways the ags are important and can be traded based off of the demographics of different nations. Emerging markets are rapidly emerging which is changing the entire supply demand situation of food and water. Monitor and profit from this, or stay ignorant and get unpleasantly surprised.
Obviously commodities are huge part of the global economy. If you are not using and monitoring them you are missing out on some of the biggest puzzle pieces out there. If you are a global macro trader you need to be monitoring all the commodity complexes. - 23218
One of the main types of upstairs traders in the commodity markets are the CTA or commodity trading advisors. They typically do a lot of long term trend following. The second major commodity trader is the global macro trader.
Global macro traders are the next major group of players in the commodity markets. Some are heavily involved and some barely trade them but all macro traders track the commodity markets to give them a better look into the worlds macro economic situation.
For instance if oil is rising like we saw in 2008 then you have to look to see what businesses are going to get hurt and what will benefit from higher oil prices. Obviously oil companies will make more money but what about shorting airlines? Or maybe even going long railroad companies. As you can tell there are endless ideas of who is affected and who is not.
Another heavily monitored sector is that of precious metals. Gold and silver are great historic gauges of inflation and these days also act as alternative currencies since the Fiat currencies are all in shambles. If you aren't following gold then good luck trading bonds and the US Dollar. Yes, this stuff is that important.
Industrial metals are also a big deal as almost everything you buy or use has some type of metal in it. Copper for electrical wires, lead for batteries, aluminum for cans, etc. The list is virtually endless and between the MERC, the NYMEX, and the LME you can trade basically all of it. If you aren't tracking industrial metals then you are not pricing out the number one cost for most manufacturing and industrial companies.
Next up are the agricultural commodities. While some gloss over this section they are actually a huge part of the economy. Do you eat food? Do you drink water? If you answer was yes to either of these questions then you need to pay attention to the ags. If you answered no then call the hospital please. Anyways the ags are important and can be traded based off of the demographics of different nations. Emerging markets are rapidly emerging which is changing the entire supply demand situation of food and water. Monitor and profit from this, or stay ignorant and get unpleasantly surprised.
Obviously commodities are huge part of the global economy. If you are not using and monitoring them you are missing out on some of the biggest puzzle pieces out there. If you are a global macro trader you need to be monitoring all the commodity complexes. - 23218
About the Author:
If you need actionable trading ideas then check out The Macro Trader It is a weekly global macro investor advisory publication with frequent intra-week updates for time-critical analysis and actionable trading ideas.
posted by X - Men @ 10:06 AM
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