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Thursday, April 2, 2009

Trading Strategy: Pyramid Your Profits!

By Jordan Weir

We've all heard the age old adage, cut your losses short, and let your profits ride. Yet the vast majority of traders don't use this concept to its fullest. The proper application of this single, key piece of advice can be the difference between showing a profit at the end of the month, and showing a loss. This method is known as pyramiding your profits.

Risk management is one of the most crucial elements of your trading system. Badly managed risk will lead to eventual losses, while well managed risk will lead to profits. A basic principle of speculation is that no more then 5% of your portfolio should be at risk during any trade. On a $50000 portfolio, thats $2500 at risk. This does not mean that you cant invest more then $2500 into a given trade, but it does mean that when setting a stop loss, you need to decide on position sizing accordingly.

To determine your position size, what you do is you take the amount your willing to risk, and divide that by the amount your risking per share (the difference between the stock price, and your stop loss). So on a $20 stock, if your stop loss is at 17.50, and your risking $2500, then you do $2500/2.50 = 1000 shares. Your position size should be 1000 shares.

With your standard trade, that would be hit. An order to sell at a certain price, and order to buy at a certain price, and a stop loss. When your pyramiding your profits though, there's an integral extra step. When the stock has gone up in price, and you have some profits, you add MORE to the position. Lets say it goes up to $22.50, and you decide to move your stop loss up to $21.00. You now have 1000 in gains if you get stopped out. To pyramid your profits, you add that 1000 in gains to your risk amount for the trade, for a total of $3500. Since its now at 22.50, and we can risk up to $3500, then we should purchase another 2300 shares. (3500/1.5 = 2334).

Now lets analyze your position for a second. You bought 1000 shares at 20, and 2300 at 22.50. If it goes to 25, then you made $5000 on the original 1000 shares, and another $5750 on the second set of 2300 shares. If it goes down to your stop at 21, then you made $1000 on the original 1000 shares, and lost $3450 on the second set of $2300 shares, for an overall loss of $2450 (about the same as the risk you were willing to take on). The same idea can be applied to shorting stock as well. Just remember " add to your position as you become profitable, but keep your maximum loss relatively constant factoring in the unrealized gains.

Yet the applications of this strategy are important not just for the short term trader; it can be used by long term investors as well. Assuming its an up trending stock, long term investors would be well served to start with smaller positions, with a stoploss, and essentially add to the position on breakouts. This allows you to profit from the frequent megatrends in the market, while being taken out of the market if it begins going against you.

You may have heard the saying, you never go broke taking a profit. This idea is the polar opposite to pyramiding your profits, and is in fact, dangerous. To succeed in the investing world, your profits must be substantially higher then your losses, and that is whats accomplished by a trading strategy such as pyramiding your profits. Cut your losses short, and let your profits run.

The most successful traders in the market aren't the ones who are right on 80% of their trades. Many of the most successful aren't right on 50% of their trades. A few of them aren't even breaking 30 or 40%. What separates the best from the rest isnt how often their right, but how much they make when they're right compared to how much they lose when they're wrong. By pyramiding your profits, you'll make massive gains, and small losses, which is a key to becoming a successful trader. - 23218

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